See our model portfolios’ returns
Compare our Conservative and Aggressive models, with published history since 2004.
Conservative Portfolio
Model Performance
Aggressive Portfolio
Model Performance
How we calculate model returns
We use TSP share prices and our published fund allocations to calculate each model’s change in value.
Each fund mix is applied from the first available share price on or after its trade date, and held until the next change. The charts show the total gain or loss over the selected period. Membership fees are not deducted.
Performance disclosures
TSP Pilot model performance is simulated model performance, not the actual performance of any individual subscriber account. Individual results will differ based on contribution timing, payroll processing, account balances, interfund-transfer timing, execution delays, transfer limits, withdrawals, loans, taxes, lifecycle fund use, mutual fund window use, missed alerts, personal choices, and other facts.
Unless a page says otherwise, model returns are calculated from TSP share-price data and TSP Pilot model allocation history. The model begins with a hypothetical starting value, applies allocation changes as of the first available TSP share-price date on or after the stated trade date, rebalances exactly to the model allocation, and shows cumulative percentage change for the displayed period.
Performance figures may be gross of taxes, account-specific costs, transaction timing effects, payroll timing, and other individual frictions. They may be revised if source data, calculation logic, imported allocation history, or clerical errors are corrected.
Past performance does not predict or guarantee future results.
Both models can lose money. They are published examples, not personal recommendations. You decide whether to use them.
Get our current TSP fund allocations
Your membership includes both models, market updates, and alerts when the fund mix changes.